Brazil lost its coveted investment-grade rating on Wednesday after Fitch became the second credit agency to downgrade the country's debt to junk status, citing concerns about an economic and political crisis threatening to topple President Dilma Rousseff.
Fitch downgraded Brazil to BB+ with a negative outlook less than 24 hours after the left-leaning Rousseff moved to loosen next year's budget targets in a bid to safeguard spending for welfare programs. The decision undercut her orthodox finance minister, who staked his reputation on an austerity agenda that has now stalled in Congress.
The real currency and dollar-denominated bonds tumbled amid forced selling after the downgrade, which came just three months after Standard & Poor's cut Brazil's rating to junk, further clouding the outlook for an economy reeling from its sharpest downturn in a quarter-century.
Investors barred from owning junk bonds could dispose of about US$20 billion ($28.2 billion) in Brazilian sovereign and corporate debt after two agencies downgraded Brazil, analysts at JPMorgan Securities estimated in October.
It marked a bitter reversal for Latin America's largest economy, seven years after a commodities-fuelled boom helped propel it to investment-grade status, feeding optimism that its economy was finally coming of age.
Fitch said a deepening political crisis had restricted the government's ability to right the economy. Rousseff's opponents have accused her of breaking budget rules and are trying to impeach her, while key allies are threatening to bolt her coalition amid a widening bribery scandal at state-run oil company Petrobras.
With Fitch leaving Brazil's credit outlook on negative, and Moody's Investor Services also reviewing its rating, further downgrades to the country's creditworthiness could follow.
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Fitch downgraded Brazil to BB+ with a negative outlook less than 24 hours after the left-leaning Rousseff moved to loosen next year's budget targets in a bid to safeguard spending for welfare programs. The decision undercut her orthodox finance minister, who staked his reputation on an austerity agenda that has now stalled in Congress.
The real currency and dollar-denominated bonds tumbled amid forced selling after the downgrade, which came just three months after Standard & Poor's cut Brazil's rating to junk, further clouding the outlook for an economy reeling from its sharpest downturn in a quarter-century.
Investors barred from owning junk bonds could dispose of about US$20 billion ($28.2 billion) in Brazilian sovereign and corporate debt after two agencies downgraded Brazil, analysts at JPMorgan Securities estimated in October.
It marked a bitter reversal for Latin America's largest economy, seven years after a commodities-fuelled boom helped propel it to investment-grade status, feeding optimism that its economy was finally coming of age.
Fitch said a deepening political crisis had restricted the government's ability to right the economy. Rousseff's opponents have accused her of breaking budget rules and are trying to impeach her, while key allies are threatening to bolt her coalition amid a widening bribery scandal at state-run oil company Petrobras.
With Fitch leaving Brazil's credit outlook on negative, and Moody's Investor Services also reviewing its rating, further downgrades to the country's creditworthiness could follow.
Click Here To Register For Free Trial Services OR Give A Missed Call : +6531581402 Follow Us On Twitter : www.twitter.com/epicresearchsg Like Us On Facebook : www.facebook.com/EpicResearchSingapore Need Any Assistance Feel Free To Mail Us at : info@epicresearch.sg
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