Monday, April 18, 2016

Ascott Residence Trust kept at ‘buy’ by OCBC with $1.29 fair value

OCBC is keeping its “buy” call on Ascott Residence Trust (ART) with a fair value of $1.29 as it continues to see value at current share price level, with the stock trading at FY16F distribution yield of 7.3% and P/B ratio of 0.79x.

In a Monday report, OCBC analyst Andy Wong Teck Ching says ART has “come a long way”, starting with just 12 properties and an asset size of $856 million.

Its portfolio now comprises 89 properties with 11,292 apartment units across 14 countries with an asset size of $4.8 billion.

“Whilst its 1Q16 DPU of 1.75 S cents was slightly lower by 0.6% as compared to 1Q15 and formed just 21.1% of FY16 forecast, we judge this to be within our expectations,” says Wong.

This is because 1Q is seasonally a softer period, and contribution from its proposed Sheraton Tribeca New York Hotel acquisition has yet to kick in.

“Hence we expect ART’s growth momentum to pick up in the coming quarters.”

For 1Q, gross revenue and gross profit jumped 17.2% and 12.6% y-o-y to $105.5 million and $48.6 million, respectively.

ART also saw improvement in the operational performance of several countries, notably China, Australia, Malaysia and Spain.

On an overall portfolio basis, ART registered a 10% y-o-y growth in its RevPAU to $125.

This was underpinned by new acquisitions which commanded a higher average daily rate.

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