GOLD TRADING FORECAST TODAY
INTERNATIONAL COMEX NEWS
- Gold eased Friday on light profit-taking, a day after achieving its biggest one-day rally in two years. But support remained solid above the $1,200 level from safe-haven demand triggered by the recent weakness on Wall Street and spike in Treasury yields. “My 35 years on the floor have seen all this before,” George Gero, analyst at the RBC Wealth Management in New York, said, referring to gold’s ability to stay above the $1,200 level despite a series of rate hikes planned by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
- The winter heating season officially began this month, with U.S. supplies of natural gas roughly 17% below the five-year average for this time of year—sending prices for the commodity to their highest levels since January. That could presage elevated, volatile prices as temperatures begin to fall. Domestic natural-gas supplies in storage stood at 2.956 trillion cubic feet for the week ended Oct. 5, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
- Oil prices rebounded Friday from the previous day's rout, but still logged their biggest weekly loss since the second quarter after data showed U.S. drillers ramping up output, even as a second global energy agency said the market was adequately supplied. A weekly reading on the U.S. oil rig count rose by eight, the first such climb in four weeks, which signaled the U.S. shale crude industry was intensifying drilling with prices near four-year highs.
ECONOMY NEWS
- Italian officials must stop questioning the euro and need to "calm down" in their budget debate as they have already caused damage to firms and households, European Central Bank ECB President Mario Draghi said on Saturday. Italy's government has been locked in a war of words with European officials over Rome's plans to triple the deficit next year, backtracking on a previous pledge to narrow the budget gap in one of the bloc's most indebted countries.
- The International Monetary Fund said on Saturday its members pledged to refrain from competitive currency devaluations and step up dialogue on trade, as escalating trade frictions and higher borrowing costs threatened to knock global growth. The agreement came as U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin reiterated his concern over the yuan's weakening against the dollar - a drop that Washington suspects may be aimed at giving Chinese exports a trade advantage and offsetting U.S. tariffs.
- Japan wants to highlight global imbalances as key topics of debate, and take steps to fix them, when it chairs next year's gatherings of the Group of 20 major economies, government officials said this week. Tokyo hopes other countries would join Japan to counter U.S. President Donald Trump's focus on narrowing U.S. trade deficits through purely bilateral trade deals, the officials say, rather than the big international agreements now in place.
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